AFL Round 5: Super Saturday Preview

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St Kilda v Greater Western Sydney

(Docklands Stadium, 1.45pm AEST, Saturday, April 21, 2018)

St Kilda must be the most cursed club in the AFL. Only one premiership in their history, and if there’s a odd bounce or a stray kick to deny a team a second premiership, St Kilda is the team that this will happen to. Still, they’ve won more premierships than their opponent, Greater Western Sydney (why oh why don’t they just dump the ‘Greater’ part of their name, and call themselves Western Sydney?), although their history has lasted for 114 years less. The Giants are a complete team at the moment, still stuttering a little bit, but St Kilda just hasn’t moved out of first gear. A demolition job is on the cards, although we need to bear in mind St Kilda defeated the Giants in their clash at the same ground last year. History might be St Kilda’s only friend in this clash – short term, not long term history, but Greater Western Sydney will prevail.

 

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Last time:

  • Round 7, 2017. St Kilda 16.12 defeated Greater Western Sydney 12.13.

Predictions:

  • Eddy Jay: Greater Western Sydney, 44 points
  • Lintang Enam: Greater Western Sydney, 21 points
  • Computer says: Greater Western Sydney, 20 points

Carlton v West Coast

(MCG, 4.35pm AEST, Saturday, April 21, 2018)

Carlton is a team that seems to be in a permanent re-rebuilding mode but to re-build, bricks and mortar are needed, items that Carlton has is in short supply. They’ve lost their big-man Matthew Kreuzer for this game, and it was probably their biggest hope in the unlikely chance of being able to win this game. The only pointer for Carlton is that West Coast don’t travel very well, especially when they play at the MCG. But it’s no co-incidence that the new Perth Stadium has been modeled on the MCG and, if you squint a little bit, it does resemble the grand home of football. Perth Stadium was primarily built as a miniature copy of the MCG so they could become more acquainted with the Melbourne ground when they actually play there, but even this minor detail won’t be able to save Carlton. West Coast will win by many goals, with the game probably over when the half-time siren sounds.

Last time:

  • Round 21, 2017. West Coast 15.10 defeated Carlton 12.11.

Predictions:

  • Eddy Jay: West Coast, 62 points
  • Lintang Enam: West Coast, 48 points
  • Computer says: West Coast, 27 points

Port Adelaide v Geelong

(Adelaide Oval, 7.40pm AEST, Saturday, April 21, 2018)

Port Adelaide hasn’t fully recovered from their massive 2007 AFL Grand Final defeat, the biggest on record: 119 points. They face the team that demolished them on that day – Geelong – and even through it was over 10 years ago, the psychological scars remain. Geelong still hasn’t clicked properly in 2018 and Port Adelaide suffered their first defeat last weekend, comfortably defeated by Essendon. Port Adelaide have stocked up pretty well for this season, and it will a good test for them. They passed their last test when they played against Sydney in Round 2, and should come up with the goods against Geelong. Port Adelaide to prevail, but not by much, in what should be an excellent game.

Last time:

  • Round 10, 2017. Geelong 11.15 defeated Port Adelaide 11.13.

Predictions:

  • Eddy Jay: Port Adelaide, 8 points
  • Lintang Enam: Geelong, 13 points
  • Computer says: Port Adelaide, 8 points

Fremantle v Western Bulldogs

(Perth Stadium, 8.15pm AEST, Saturday, April 21, 2018)

Western Bulldogs have really turned their season around over the past fortnight – they looked lost and listless for the first two rounds, before pumping Essendon and then almost defeating the highly-rated Sydney team. We think the boys are back in town and are almost back to their 2016 premiership form. Fremantle has had a stuttering season, but it was no shame to lose to Greater Western Sydney last weekend. Although it goes without saying that it would have been better to win, so maybe it was a shame. This game will decide whether these two teams are mid-ranking teams, or something beyond, so there will be a keen interest in the quality of the game, not so much in the result – although both teams would prefer victory rather than the sour taste of an honourable defeat. The recent form of the Western Bulldogs has been sharper than Fremantle’s but this is a game that will probably go down to the wire.

Last time:

  • Round 3, 2017. Fremantle 13.11 defeated Western Bulldogs 10.13.

Predictions:

  • Eddy Jay: Western Bulldogs, 12 points
  • Lintang Enam: Draw
  • Computer says: Fremantle, 4 points
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